Easy Money

It's easy to forget the hands we fold that save us a lot of money simply because we never played them. Money saved spends just as well as money earned.

In this hand, folding QQ preflop shouldn't be difficult against two players raising and reraising from early position. If I were on autopilot, I can see myself getting involved in this hand and losing a chunk of change. Instead, all I lost was the money I paid for the blinds:


Full Tilt Poker $5/$10 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 176679

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $2290.00
BTN: $872.65
Hero (SB): $2000.00
BB: $2671.50
UTG: $907.00
UTG+1: $2001.50
MP1: $1000.00
MP2: $1009.00

Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is SB with Q Q

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $30, MP1 raises to $100, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls $70

Flop: ($215.00) 5 6 A (2 players)

UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $100, UTG+1 raises to $315, MP1 calls $215

Turn: ($845.00) 4 (2 players)

UTG+1 bets $1586.50 all in, MP1 calls $585 all in

River: ($2015.00) T (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $2015.00

UTG+1 shows 7 9 (Ace Ten high)

MP1 shows A A (three of a kind, Aces)

MP1 wins $2012.00

(Rake: $3.00)

A time to show

I don't show bluffs often, but I'll do so when there's a good chance it could pay off later. In this game, the time was right.

First, the 4-bet bluff and the show (you can do it quickly by typing Control+M). This was a good spot for it because I could represent strength with another under-the-gun raise, and the player who attempted the squeeze can only call with premium hands:


Full Tilt Poker $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 175603

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $402.00
BB: $771.20
Hero (UTG): $407.30
MP: $400.00
CO: $852.30
BTN: $1303.20


Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is UTG with 8 T

Hero raises to $12, 2 folds, BTN calls $12, SB raises to $64, 1 fold, Hero raises to $125, BTN requests TIME, 1 fold, SB requests TIME, 1 fold

Final Pot: $144.00

Hero shows 8 T (Ten Eight high)

Hero wins $144.00


Then a few minutes later, I make a similar move, get action in a coinflip situation and flop good. This opponent probably wouldn't have committed with TT unless I had shown my bluff a few minutes earlier. Even though we got it in on a flip, my range crushes his TT in this spot.


Full Tilt Poker $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 175610

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $408.70
BB: $663.20
Hero (UTG): $607.90
MP: $406.00
CO: $852.30
BTN: $1273.20


Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is UTG with K A

Hero raises to $12, 2 folds, BTN raises to $42, 2 folds, Hero raises to $125, BTN requests TIME, BTN raises to $1273.20 all in, Hero calls $482.90 all in

Flop: ($1221.80) K 9 K

Turn: ($1221.80) 6

River: ($1221.80) A

Final Pot: $1221.80

Hero shows K A (a full house, Kings full of Aces)

BTN shows T T (two pair, Kings and Tens)

Hero wins $1218.80

(Rake: $3.00)

CardRunners video

My first CardRunners video is up! Check it out here.

The video focuses on hand ranges, barrelling and the importance of evaluating your play.

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Thanks.

Fish in the Sea

"Poker is about making money, not about being a good poker player. So it's kind of a Catch-22 situation. ... The No. 1 thing you're supposed to do in poker is play with people that are worse than you."
--Gabe Thaler on "Cash Plays"

I was trolling around the 2/4 NL 6-max games on Full Tilt a few nights ago, looking for a good game. Instead, I found a bunch of tables with three seats filled by CardRunners pro Taylor Caby, Full Tilt pro Steve Yea and solid regular Joe Forte.

Clearly, those games wouldn't be very profitable.

It was a bit frustrating because I had moved down from 5/10, where has been my primary game for 2 1/2 years now, after hitting a rough stretch. And then when I go to the lower limits, I found that the games are no softer than they were at the higher limit. I had been telling myself to accept the fact that I may not have much of an edge anymore at 5/10, and then I dropped down and still couldn't find much of a profit.

"Well, I guess it's time to learn PLO better," I thought to myself. "Or maybe I'll play some 1/2. Or I guess I could play later and hope the games are better then."

All of those were fine ideas, but it took me a few more days to see a solution sitting right in front of me: full ring. Most fish, especially those accustomed to playing live, aren't going to sit at shorthanded tables. Many of them will play full ring.

Sure enough, the slower 2/4 full ring games have been far easier to beat than the 6-max games. I've made the vast majority of my money over the last few years playing shorthanded, but that doesn't necessarily mean full ring is less profitable. It just means that I gravitate to the type of games I feel most comfortable in -- the games I perceive to be best. Those perceptions need to change as the poker environment evolves.

There are juicy games of many limits and types. Being willing and able to find them takes some effort. From a broad perspective, the important thing is to recognize games that will be profitable, and not let pride or ambition get in the way of finding where I can maximize my advantage.

Deepstacked with an overpair

In trying to improve my deepstacked game, I picked up a tip from an instructional video:

There's nothing wrong with not continuation betting an overpair out of position and check-calling down against an aggressive opponent. Many players in position when deepstacked will both value bet with worse and bluff when checked to.

If I were to continuation bet with the overpair when stacks are deep, there are many flops on which I'd be unnecessarily inflating the pot or setting myself up to get bluffed off the best hand on a later street.

When 100BBs deep, I'll continuation bet my overpair just about every time. But deepstacked, one pair loses so much value when the pot gets big, and I can't afford to be guessing when out of position.

Here's an example:

Full Tilt Poker $5/$10 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 160019

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter


BTN: $1474.05

Hero (UTG): $2023.25


Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is UTG with Q Q

Hero raises to $30, 5 folds, BTN calls $30, 2 folds



Flop: ($75.00) 5 8 2 (2 players)

Hero checks, BTN bets $60, Hero calls $60



Turn: ($195.00) 8 (2 players)

Hero checks, BTN bets $155, Hero calls $155



River: ($505.00) 6 (2 players)

Hero checks, BTN requests TIME, BTN checks



Final Pot: $505.00

BTN shows 9 4 (a pair of Eights)

Hero shows Q Q (two pair, Queens and Eights)

Hero wins $502.00

(Rake: $3.00)

Free Stuff from Coaching Sites

Here's a belated congrats to LJ for finishing in 10th in the $1,500 HORSE event at the World Series of Poker! Very cool. Full results can be found here.
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Reraising Warz

How often do 3-bets, 4-bets and 5-bet shoves need to be successful to show a profit when 100 BBs deep?

It's easy to determine how often a reraise needs to get a fold to show a profit by calculating bet/(bet+pot). Note that this equation ignores hand values entirely because it only measures risk vs. reward.

1. 3-bet
CO raises to 3 BB, Button raises to 11 BB. Blinds are 1.5 BB.
11/15.5=71 percent

2. 4-bet.
CO raises to 3 BB, Button raises to 11 BB, CO raises to 25 BB. Blinds are 1.5 BB.
25/40.5=62 percent

3. 5-bet shove
Button raises to 3 BB, SB raises to 11 BB, Button raises to 25 BB, SB raises to 100 BB. Blinds are 1.5 BB.
100/137.5=73 percent

See the ball, hit the ball, Meat

A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while. --Bull Durham

It never ceases to amaze me how, after taking just one day off from the game, everything seems so simple when I come back.

Bad plays become obvious in retrospect:

What was I doing 3-betting A4 from the big blind, even against an aggressive button stealer? Why was I squeezing so much? When did I decide playing Ace-rag in position wasn't that bad?

Many of these errors are a result of attempts to loosen up my game, defend my blinds more and become more LAGgy. Most of them didn't directly result in large monetary losses.

But they did add up. More than that, they distracted me and put me on tilt. Which blows, because the best solution to tilt is to stop playing, and that's hard to do when I'm stuck.

One hand at a time.